Friday, January 1, 2010

The “WTF?” Power of Exponential Growth: “Crime Doubles in a Decade” = “Crime Growing 7% per year”

Are White South Africans and Zimbabweans the canaries in the Worlds Demographic Population Growth Coalmine?
RSA Demography: Racial Population Growth: 1868 to 2001
This graph represents the racial population growth of South Africans from 1868 to 2001: one racial group grew very slowly, if at all; focussing on -- simplistically -- concentrating their health, wealth and happiness; through education, family planning, and saving. The other racial group grew massively, focussing on concentrating their health, wealth and happiness; through sexual promiscuity, large families of illegitimate and unwanted children, and emotional, psychological and political blackmail coercion "liberation struggle" terrorism.

USA Demography: Racial Population Growth: 1790 to 2090 (US Census)
This graph represents the racial population growth of America, from 1790 to 2090: the characteristics of population growth are very similar. One racial group is growing slowly; predominantly focussing -- simplistically -- on concentrating their health, wealth and happiness; through education, family planning, and saving. The other racial group are growing massively, as a result of American immigration policies, for cheap labour, and related welfare incentives for illegal and legal immigrants. Now to Prof. Bartlett's, WTF Power of Exponential Growth Presentation:
Here are some very simple ideas about the problems we're facing. Some of these problems are local, some are national, some are global. They're all tied together. They're tied together by arithmetic, and the arithmetic isn't very difficult. What I hope to do is, I hope to be able to convince you that the greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

For example, if you saw a story that said things had been growing 7% per year for several recent years, you wouldn't bat an eyelash. But when you see a headline that says crime has doubled in a decade, you say “My heavens, what's happening?”
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